4 thoughts on “Here Are the Two Ways I Think This Can Play Out”

  1. If you zoom out, like in your 2nd scenario, the S&P from Jan/2021 to today looks like a big H&S to me. Wouldn’t that structure override other structures and point us DOWN? Mind you same could have been said of Feb/2019 to Oct/2019 … but then look at Jan/2011 to Aug/2011, or Jan/2015 to Aug/2015. And again these time frames all seem to be +/- 8 months while we’re in a 16 month structure… anyway. I guess I like both of your scenarios and don’t see macro-economic factors killing the economy/market. Getting rid of Putin & China opening up would sure seem like good news since the war & china lock down seem pretty priced in right now.

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