Something for the Bulls

Now I complained the other day that I was not able to count the entire decline as complete, because I lacked a fib relationship I could use to justify that.

However, I have now found one, and so that is no longer true. And if we rally more strongly than I expect, I may drop the put side of my strangle and adopt this count.

On this count, we still endured a “Double Three” correction (Pink W-X-Y), with Pink Y = 1.618 times the length of Pink W:


And within Pink Y, Orange C = Orange A, like this:


And so, it actually is possible for the low to be in. Nice internal and external wave balance. If the market gets more bullish than I expect, I may adopt this count. We have plenty of things we would need: sentiment at multi-decade lows (this will become a contrarian signal at some point—that may be now), plenty of volume, a good intraday reversal, etc. We do lack a VIX spike, but, despite many folks’ insistence that we must have one, that is not necessarily true. It would be nice, of course, but plenty of major lows have been made without one.

Note: When articles are first posted, most of them are made available only to my Patreon supporters (I do try to publish some public posts on occasion). Over time (usually after a period of a few weeks or so), I make all of the work public. To gain access to my work when it is produced, please consider becoming a patron. More information may be found on my About page and on my Patreon page. In a nutshell, patrons of any denomination (you get to pick the amount) will be able to read my weekend analyses, Tier 1 members ($20/mo.) get access to all of the articles I write, and Tier 2 members ($35/mo.) get access to those, plus counts on other instruments and my Discord chatroom.

One thought on “Something for the Bulls”

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *