$SPX Update

I haven’t much to add. Among the options discussed yesterday (here), I will focus on some bullish outcomes. The bearish option is of course alive and well, and if we drop, I will try to dive into it, but I still prefer the bullish scenarios for the time being.

It’s possible that blue 2 is already in, in which case we can just keep going up from here.

But, it’s also possible that we’re in a more protracted blue 2 now. We may need another drop to complete it, and if we drop into tomorrow’s close and then rally powerfully after the CPI announcement, it could look like this:

SPX

If that is too predictable, it’s also possible that we’re only partway through orange “b” of blue 2, and we can consolidate more, rally into tomorrow’s close, and still get a drop after the CPI print, but then promptly reverse it early in Thursday’s session, like this:

SPX

So, several things can happen, but so long as the lows from the earliest days of the year hold, I would like to retain a bullish bias.


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