The Weekend Review of the Markets: The Coming Market Reversal

Happy Weekend traders.

I want to begin by revisiting the elephant in the room. We’ve rallied hard in November from a low that I thought we weren’t nearly bearish enough at for it to stick. And stick it did.

At the end of October (here), I discussed how the market was either clownishly bullish or clownishly bearish. The clownishly bullish view involved a huge, macro “cup and handle formation” that at the time, looked like this (from that article on the 28th of October):

SPX

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Market Update for Wednesday, November 15th, 2023

Good afternoon, traders.

The S&P 500 is little changed, so there’s nothing I can add that goes beyond what was said yesterday. I continue to believe that this is a countertrend rally in a long and exhausting bear market. We may observe the 3-wave advance (if that’s what it is) as an A-B-C with a triangle in the middle:

SPX

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