Weekend Review of the Markets: The Coming Short Squeeze

Happy Weekend, traders!

We’ll make this short and sweet this weekend (or we’ll try to).

I called bullshit on the April drop, and that’s been not too horrible as the S&P 500 has now almost returned back to its prior ATH. I also warned about exactly what we’ve just seen as far back as March 11th (here). In that post, I suggested a bullish option that involved a grind higher (which we got up through April Fools), then a drop to test the 50-day, then launch. And so far, that’s exactly what we’ve done.

Don’t get me wrong: I didn’t want to do that. I think we’re in a bubble, and I’ve thought that a hiking cycle of the magnitude we’ve had would be enough to kill it. But, I’ve also been open to the bubble going on still, and I now think the likelihood of that happening continues to grow so long as we don’t see big bears show up.

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Market Update for Wednesday, May 9th, 2024

Good afternoon, traders.

Ok, so in this weekend’s article, we discussed how all the indices were poised under their respective 50-day moving averages, and I discussed how I was inclined to believe the market would go up more.

From that article, we also discussed the Dow (and the expectation for the bull wedge to really squirt), and today it really got going:

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